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| pn196 |
Percentage changes in the November Colmar Brunton poll show National up 3 to 46 from October, Labour down 2 to 43, Greens down 2 to 5, NZFirst down 1 to 4, Act up 1 and the Maori Party unchanged at 1. In the preferred leader stakes, Jacinda Ardern is down 3 to 39, Simon Bridges is unchanged at 7, Judith Collins is up at 6, Winston Peters is unchanged at 4 — and John Key, who left parliament two years ago, is up 2.
The NZ Herald and 1News wrote of a "surge" in support for National, Stuff more modestly chose the word"overtake" and Martyn Bradbury writes in the extreme left-wing Daily Blog went into all sort of moralising details on why:
"…the horror take away is that despite all the madness inside National, New Zealanders still adore the National Party!
Despite China buying 2 MPs, despite the allegations of corruption, despite the internal meltdown, Kiwis desperately worship at the feet of the banal and the malicious in the hope their speculative property portfolios can soar in 2020.There is something very damaged in the dark part of our soul to see National at 46%, after all the social service underfunding and damage they caused the poor over 9 years of economic vandalism, 46% still yearn for their leash.
How ugly, how petty, how spitefully muddle Nu Zilind.
For Labour, petrol prices are biting, school donations are still due, workers are barely getting by and rents are sky rocketing. The neoliberal welfare Ministries continue to hold sway over easily trained Ministers meaning the poor who hoped to see change from toxic WINZ and CYFS when voting Labour feel betrayed.
NZ First won’t sweat this, they always peak in elections and the TVNZ Poll, now that it takes so much more account of cell phone numbers, suppresses their vote.
The Greens however should be shitting themselves. Their alienating woke middle class politics is actively driving voters away ...
The other major problem for the Green brand are their woke online activists. Nothing turns other voters off like the smug self righteous glitter beard top knot militant vegan electric bike riding 4th wave feminist Trans rights above all else Green supporters, they are a daily advert for exclusion .... Unfortunately, ‘You’re wrong and I’m different’ isn’t much of a recruitment tool. Seeing as they have gone backwards 3 elections in a row, 2020 could be the end of them if they are cannibalised by TOP."
Interesting. But for all these comments —and NZHerald and 1News "surges"— nothing has really changed since October. All the results were within the 3.1% margin of error, and could be due to nothing more than a different poll sample.
Not to mention that 10% said they were undecided and 3% refused to answer.
Not to mention that 10% said they were undecided and 3% refused to answer.
How to make headlines out of nothing! And make you review your party and leader preferences!
--ACW
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